Crystal Ball Series

Published On : 2026-07-15
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Crystal Ball Series

Crystal Ball Series

MID-YEAR 2026 UPDATE

Cyber deception will become indistinguishable to defenders

PREDICTION TRACKING : VALIDATED – ACCELERATING

What we said vs. what 2026 is showing

WE PREDICTED (Jan 2026)

80-90% of social engineering uses Al voice, video or synthetic identity Human verification alone unreliable 30% won’t trust identity checks alone

WHAT’S HAPPENING NOW

62% of orgs hit by a deepfake attack Vishing surged 442% in 2025 Al scams up 1,210% in 2025 “Deception is outperforming detection”

Mid-year evidencе

62% of organizations suffered a deepfake social-engineering attack

442% surge in AI voice-phishing (vishing) during 2025

54% Al-phishing click rate vs 12% traditional (4.5x)

30% of enterprises will distrust standalone identity verification

OUR UPDATED POSITION

Validated and accelerating. Al-generated voice and video deception is now mainstream and routinely outpaces human detection. Standalone identity verification is failing; assurance must move to multi-signal, provenance-backed verification with liveness and out-of-band checks. Train people to assume voice and video can be faked, and verify high-risk requests through a second channel.

Cyber deception will become indistinguishable to defenders

Analyzing past behaviour helps us assess Predictive Threat Intelligence

2019-2021 Voice and video fraud rare, manual, and low quality

In 2024 – 85% of enterprises report at least one deepfake-enabledincident

Click-through rate (Al-generated phishing)

Click-through rate (Traditional phishing)

more effective than non-Al phishing

Preemptive External Threat Landscape Management

will use Al-generated voice, video, or synthetic dentities

Human verification alone becomes unreliable

50% of identity attacks to use real-time impersonation

30% of enterprises won’t trust identity verification alone

Deception is outperforming detection